Posted on May 26, 2015
The problem hinges on the efficacy of the "seasonal' adjustments that are baked into the GDP methodology.
Posted on May 13, 2015
We live in an age where bad economic news is not only unwelcome, but it is routinely overlooked or excused.
Posted on May 6, 2015
The word was meant to convey the belief that central banking was best done for all to see in the full light of day, not in the murky back rooms of Washington and New York.
Posted on March 24, 2015
By simultaneously claiming to be both aggressive and defensive, and to be moving forward even while standing still, Yellen positioned the Fed as being all things to all people, thereby igniting a rally in all asset classes at the same time.
Posted on March 10, 2015
Although I have been critical of the Fed for many years, I never imagined that it would provide me with material that bordered on the metaphysical.
Posted on February 3, 2015
Last week a scene unfolded in Athens that provided all the visual and metaphorical symbols needed to define the current state of the global economy.
Posted on January 20, 2015
If anyone had any doubt how severely the global economy has been distorted by the actions of central bankers, the "surprise" announcement last week by the Swiss National Bank (SNB) to no longer peg the Swiss franc to the euro should provide a moment of crystal clarity.
Posted on January 4, 2015
The sudden fall in the price of oil provides a unique opportunity to examine the widely held belief that deflation is economic poison.
Posted on December 22, 2014
In a normal economic times falling energy costs would be considered unadulterated good news.
Posted on December 15, 2014
The stunning 40% drop in the price of oil over the past few months has scrambled global economic forecasts, changed the geo-political landscape, and has severely pressured many energy sector investments.
Posted on December 9, 2014
There can be little doubt that data releases rather than experience or intuition are driving the economic conversation.
Posted on December 3, 2014
The piece sheds important light on how the Federal Reserve's attitude regarding sub 2% inflation has changed significantly over the years.
Posted on November 24, 2014
All eyes should now be focused on the Swiss voters.
Posted on November 19, 2014
As Japanese Prime Minster Shinzo Abe has turned his country into a petri dish of Keynesian ideas, the trajectory of Japan's economy has much to teach us about the wisdom of those policies.
Posted on November 13, 2014
As far as stocks go, we have lived by QE. The only question now is, whether we will die without it.
Posted on November 6, 2014
The sharp rebuke to the Obama administration delivered by the mid-term elections should not be construed as an endorsement of the GOP, which remains as unpopular as ever.
Posted on October 16, 2014
In an article in the UK's Telegraph on October 10, veteran economic correspondent Ambrose Evans-Pritchard laid bare the essential truth of the nearly universal current embrace of inflation as an economic panacea.
Posted on September 30, 2014
Increasingly, economists are calling the tune to which businesses and consumers dance.
Posted on September 10, 2014
Friday's release of disappointing August payroll numbers should have been a jarring wake-up call warning Wall Street that the economy has been treading on thin ice.
Posted on September 2, 2014
The current stock market is earning a deserved reputation as being coated in Teflon. Bad or disappointing news just doesn't appear to stick, and has done nothing to slow the market's upward trajectory.
Posted on June 23, 2014
Such thinking says much about the current fragility of our bond market.
Posted on May 29, 2014
There can be little doubt that Thomas Piketty's new book Capital in the 21st Century has struck a nerve globally.
Posted on May 22, 2014
In this week's release of the minutes from its April 29-30 meeting, Federal Reserve policymakers made clear that they see little chance of inflation moving past their 2% target for years to come.
Posted on May 19, 2014
A close look at international activity in the Treasury market reveals some odd patterns that should be explained.
Posted on May 14, 2014
A widely-held maxim tells us that money tends to flow from where it is treated badly to where it is treated well. This trend has taken center stage in the ongoing battle between U.S. states to attract and retain top …
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