Sam Kirtley

Gold seasonality: can we can profit from it?

Seasonality is observable in a wide variety of variables. In business, sales, production, inventory, man hours and the best time to discount can be at least partially predicted by seasonal effects. Gold is no different.

Gold stocks continue to disappoint

The recent major rally in gold is now experiencing a correction, so it is time to take a look at how gold stocks compared to a number of other gold trading vehicles.

The market dynamics that sent gold past $1800

Given that gold has hit our target of $1800 we feel it is appropriate to review our outlook on the gold market, the state of key factors that influence gold prices and possible trading strategies going forward.

Are gold stocks the real barbarous relic?

In 1924 John Maynard Keynes referred to the gold standard as a “barbarous relic”, but we think the new barbarous relic is using gold stocks as a trading or investment vehicle in an attempt to benefit from rising gold prices.

The downside to gold is limited

Despite some calling for an explosive summer rally in gold, prices fell again this week on the back of easing concerns over Greek sovereign debt as the Greek parliament successfully passed the austerity legislation required to access additional bailout funds.

Think silver has gone parabolic? 1980 was 5 times faster!

Asset price bubbles have occurred since the beginning of financial markets and will continue to do so as long as there remains a marketplace for assets to be traded. A key property of a bubble is that is it near impossible to identify with certainty before it pops, but once it does pop the bubble is apparently obvious to everyone. In our opinion, only those who risk capital and profit betting against a bubble can claim to have correctly identified one.

Why gold is no longer an effective USD hedge

During the first nine years of this gold bull market, gold prices moved with a near perfect inverse relationship to the US dollar.

Results versus Rhetoric: A Key Consideration

The ability to produce successful results and successful rhetoric are two very sought after and useful skills, but despite their stark differences the two are often confused. In this article we outline what we believe […]

Results versus Rhetoric: A Key Consideration

The ability to produce successful results and successful rhetoric are two very sought after and useful skills, but despite their stark differences the two are often confused. In this article we outline what we believe […]

The Key Relationship between US Real Rates and Gold Prices

Gold investors tend to focus overwhelmingly on the relationship between the US dollar and gold, citing that a lower dollar leads to higher gold prices in US dollars. Whilst this may be generally true, there […]

A critical analysis of current Federal Reserve Actions and Their Consequences

It is generally accepted that the recent financial crisis was brought about by excessive borrowing due to cheap and easy credit, and this excessive borrowing increased the risk in the financial system as market participants […]

Never Mind What The Fed Thinks, The Markets Have Decided QE2 is Coming

Gold prices embarked on a massive rally recently, rising from around $1210 to $1380 in just two months. Simultaneously the US index, which has a traditional inverse relationship with gold, has fallen from 83.5 to […]

Proposing an Overnight Gold Fund

There is much debate within the precious metals industry regarding the alleged suppression, or at least manipulation to an extent, by either central banks or the proprietary trading divisions of large banks, or a combination […]

US Dollar to Fade As Gold Heads Higher

One of the key technical signals we were looking for in anticipation of a new major rally in gold was a close above the 50 day moving average. Well, last week gold delivered that signal, […]

Gold Prepares To Make Yet Another All Time High

The summer doldrums are normally a weak time for gold, with July and August historically being two of the worst months for the yellow metal. July followed this pattern with there being a great deal […]

Gold Prepares To Make Yet Another All-Time High

The summer doldrums are normally a weak time for gold, with July and August historically being two of the worst months for the yellow metal. July followed this pattern with there being a great deal […]

What's Bearish For Stocks Is Not Be Bearish For All Precious Metals…

This essay is based on the Premium Update posted on June 25th, 2010 In our most recent essay we have emphasized what influence might the general stock market have on the prices of the precious metals. […]

Where next for Gold?

www.gold-prices.biz www.SKoptionstrading.com So far in 2010, all eyes in the gold market have been looking up at $1225 wondering whether gold will get back to that all time high?  Now that question has been answered, […]

Optimizing Your Gold Investment Vehicle

There are many different investment vehicles one can use to invest in gold.  The key aspects that we as investors and traders look for are the vehicles relationship and correlation with gold prices, and how […]