The S&P GSCI Index of 24 raw materials dropped about 10% since the Goldman (GS) sell call on April 11. It was up over 1% today on the new bullish call by both GS and Morgan Stanley (MS).
Potash Mining News
The Financial Post reported that Canadian potash producers have still not made an agreement on potash supplies to India. The market news is quoted as saying: Indian negotiator P.S. Gahlaut said that no resolution was reached at the conference, though talks will continue. “A big market like India should get a little preferential treatment. We can’t be equated with [smaller markets],” he said in an interview.
World number one fertilizer company Potash Corp, received a fillip from S&P on Wednesday after the ratings agency upped the company’s rating to stable from negative and reaffirmed its investment grade corporate credit rating of A-. S&P believes Potash Corp. will benefit from strong fundamentals in the potash business and from the fact that its mines are considered low cost and have long reserve lives. Potash Corp, worth some $46bn on the stock market, has attracted renewed interest from investors on the back of rising global food prices, record earnings at the company, and after a hostile takeover bid was scuppered by the Canadian federal government in November last year.
Reuters reported that the spot price for Brazil potash from Belarus Potash will increase. The market news is quoted as saying: BPC, a joint venture between Belarussian state firm Belaruskali and Russia’s Uralkali, said the move reflected higher global demand for potassium-based fertilizers and limited stocks.
Canpotex held a ground breaking ceremony at the railcar maintenance and staging facility located south of Potash Corp’s Lanigan mine on Friday. In business since 1972, Canpotex is the exclusive offshore marketing company for the three big provincial Saskatchewan potash players and maintains a fleet of 5,000 specialty railcars for its customers in about 30 countries around the world.
Trading Room reports that Melbourne-based Fortis Mining Ltd has agreed to raise $236m by selling new shares and notes to investors in Hong Kong and China to buy and develop two potash mines in Kazakhstan. ASX-listed Fortis, previously a gold and base metal explorer, acquired the rights to purchase the Chelkarskaya and Zhilyanskoe salt deposits in March. The deposits have an exploration target range of 6.5 – 6.6bn tonnes of potassium making them amongst the largest potash salt deposits in the world.
To hear the mainstream media tell it, the commodities bubble has burst. Commodities are plunging across the board in response to the latest U.S. data, most of which seems to suggest that the American economic recovery is waning. Oil, which closed at $100 a barrel yesterday, was particularly hard hit, which is why so many suggest the commodities bubble has met its end.
Canada's Allana Potash Corp said drilling results showed that the potential of its Dallol project in Ethiopia could be extended beyond the original resource estimate, helping its shares pare some of their losses. Shares of the potash explorer, which were down as much as six percent midday before the news, recovered to trade down two percent at C$1.70 on the Toronto Venture Exchange. More than 2.5 million shares were traded by late afternoon.
Has oil moved into backwardation yet? What does corn’s roll yield look like? How do you know when it’s time to buy — or sell? Each week, we investigate the futures curves of the U.S.’ most important commodities, helping investors better understand the market and seize buy-and-sell opportunities as soon as they arise.
You don't need to be a farmer or an economist to understand that weather events can have a dramatic impact on agricultural production from one year to the next. Much of the country has received above-average rainfall in the past few months and there has been widespread flooding as a result. The Mississippi River, for example, is currently experiencing a 100-year flood event. If you live in most parts of the country – such as the West Coast, the East Coast, or the Midwest, you might not realize that Texas and the greater Southwest have scarcely received any rain at all this year. In fact, much of Texas is currently suffering through an "exceptional" drought – the highest level achievable. In other words, if the drought in Texas were a hurricane it would be a "Category 5." A drought simply doesn't get any worse than this and the present conditions
Latin America used to be known for its economic and political instability. But it fought off the global financial crisis with relative ease. Poverty is now falling, the middle classes are growing rapidly and asset […]
Vulcan Minerals Inc. ("the Company")(TSX VENTURE:VUL) is pleased to announce its intention to undertake a corporate re-organization whereby the Company will spin-out certain of its mineral exploration assets into a separate publicly traded subsidiary company (NewCo). These assets consist of the mineral rights in the Bay St. George basin of western Newfoundland where the Company has discovered the Captain Cook potash deposit. The Captain Cook potash discovery was made with a core hole in 2002 and consists of a 5 meter gross interval grading up to 20.40% potassium oxide (K20) at a depth of 287 meters. It occurs in rocks which are geologically similar to those containing the Sussex potash mine in New Brunswick operated by the Potash Corporation of Saskatchewan. (Visit www.vulcanminerals.ca for further information.)
Allana Potash Corp. (TSX VENTURE:AAA) ("Allana" or the "Company") is pleased to announce that it has further extended the potential of its Dallol deposit with the completion of additional drilling and assay activity in areas beyond those included in the original resource estimate completed in 2008. This work is part of the upcoming update to Allana's National Instrument 43-101 ("NI 43-101") technical report. Drill hole DK-11-15 ("Hole 15") has intersected significant potash mineralization up to 52.40% KCl over 0.80 metres. Hole 15 intersected two strong zones of potash mineralization which appear to correlate with the Sylvinite Zone and Kainitite Zone.
Exploration junior Mesa Exploration Corp. hopes to kick off a drilling program soon at its potash project in Utah after filing a positive technical report in May. The property is adjacent to the Cane Creek mine where potash has been mined for 45 years. Listed on the TSX Venture Exchange with a market cap just shy of $10m and only 12.6m shares outstanding, Mesa recently changed its name from Mesa Uranium Corp. to reflect its broader exploration focus which include among others its flagship Green Energy Project, a large brine deposit containing 40% dissolved solids, also in Utah.
On the same day the premiers of New Brunswick and Nova Scotia toured a potash mine in Penobsquis, NB's mining commissioner began hearing from residents of a nearby town who blame the mine, operated by Potash Corp. for a loss of 60 water wells about six years ago. The mining company initially provided the residents with bottled water, but the provincial government has since installed a municipal water system.
Motley Fool puts Saskatchewan’s Potash Corp. through the Warren Buffet test this week. Ilian Moscovitz of the investment site rates the world’s biggest fertilizer manufacturer in terms of the criteria – consistent earnings, good management and a simple business among others -- laid out by the legendary investor in Berkshire Hathaway's most recent annual results filing. There is renewed interest from investors in Potash Corp., which operates six mines in the Canadian province, on the back of rising global food prices, record earnings at the company, and after BHP Billiton’s nearly $40bn hostile takeover bid was scuppered by the federal government in November last year.
Encanto Potash Corp said it is on track to meet its target of doubling resources at its flagship Saskatchewan project after a First Nation council transfers mineral rights to Canada, sending the company's shares up 18 percent in afternoon trade. Encanto, which explores and develops potash properties, expects further drilling at its Muskowekwan property to commence after a referendum by First Nation on transferring the mineral rights on the reserved land to Canada.
As the chart below demonstrates commodity prices are driven by different factors. The precious metals prices have been the hyperbolic driver of headline commodities news relative to the broader based commodities index and oil. The latter two are more geared to industrial use as gold’s commercial use is limited. The chart highlights the divergence in the components of the commodities index. iShares S&P GSCI Commodity-Indexed Trust (GSG) tracks 24 different commodities including energy (67%), industrial metals (16%), livestock (7%) and precious metals (3%).
Advances in energy and agriculture are creating demand for previously ignored metals such as scandium, tellurium and indium. In this exclusive interview with The Energy Report, Mining Analyst John Kaiser, editor of Kaiser Research Online, explains the science that could exponentially increase the value of overlooked stocks.
While China continues to make asset driven economic decisions and now looks like a traction control experiment where the economy is like a car that is driving on ice that doesn't yet know it, QE2 ignited the bunsen burner for commodity price speculation. Last I checked, Ben Bernanke has decided to continue on with QE2 but has decided that QE3 is probably a bad idea because the true positive impact of additional money coming into the economy would be more than offset by inflation. In my opinion he's making the right call, but this call is likely going to put downward pressure on commodities and other assets.
QE, of course, only happens when interest rates hit the zero bound, so it’s impossible to disentangle the effects of QE from the effects of G3 interest rates all coming down to 1% or lower. But the effect of all these investment flows is clear: if you look at commodities as an asset class, total commodity assets under management have risen from just over $150 billion at the end of 2008 to over $400 billion today.
Commodity prices took a beating today. This Bloomberg headline sums it up well: Commodities Sink Most Since 2008 as Stocks Fall. But how can this be? We have been told repeatedly that the surging commodity […]
With rising global demand for food comes escalating cash flows that enable farmers to purchase additional fertilizers to further boost yields. Dundee Securities Senior Analyst Richard Kelertas follows junior potash explorers that have been red hot for much of the past six months. In this exclusive interview with The Energy Report, Richard shares some names that he believes could develop into bumper-crop multiples for investors.
Has oil moved into backwardation yet? What does corn’s roll yield look like? How do you know when it’s time to buy—or sell? Each week, we investigate the futures curves of the U.S.’ most important […]
Allana Potash Corp. (TSX VENTURE:AAA) ("Allana" or the "Company") is pleased to announce that drill hole DK-11-17 intersected significant potash mineralization of 31.03% KCl over 1.00 metre starting at a depth of 74.20 metres. Hole […]