Global gold demand hit its lowest level in the last four years in the third quarter, marking what several analysts consider a solid proof of the end of gold’s decade-long bull run.
According to data published by the World Gold Council Thursday, the precious metal demand was 869 tonnes between July and September, 21% less than last year. The industry lobby group cited outflows from physical bullion funds and a drop in buying from major consumer India offset firmer jewellery, coin and bar sales, as the main reason for the drop.
WGC’s managing director for investment, Marcus Grubb, acknowledged that the sentiment in the market has shifted. “Technically the bull run is over because we are going to have a down year for the first time in 13 years,” he said in a press release.
Gold prices have jumped every year since 2001, but at current prices of $1,271 an ounce the precious metal is down 24% since January this year.
View also the video “Q3 gold demand trends from the World Gold Council”
While Grubbs said the council expects selling of gold-backed exchange-traded funds to ease soon, he warned gold demand is still likely to fall for a second consecutive year, as demand from India and China —the two main consumers of the precious metal— is falling.
Besides, the fact that the Indian government has imposed several restrictions on gold imports, is weighing heavily on the country’s demand decrease, which fell 32% over the quarter to just 148 tonnes, the lowest since early 2009.
Grubbs said those import restrictions may be eased next year, following elections in India, which it is likely to improve global demand.
Image by emin kuliyev