Data from BloombergNEF, the media company’s green energy research arm, shows Europe overtaking the Asia Pacific region – mainly China – in investment in transport electrification, including buses, commercial vehicles and charging infrastructure.
Out of a total of $139 billion spent worldwide, outlays in the Europe, Middle East and Africa region more than doubled last year to $66 billion. In contrast, in the US, spending has stagnated and in 2020, Germany alone attracted more investment in electrified transport than the US, thanks mainly due to strict emissions rules in the EU.
BloombergNEF found that spending in China also decreased, but the authors of the report ascribe this more to cheaper average costs of EVs, a saturated electric bus market in the country (China accounted for 99% of all e-bus sales worldwide over the last four years) and a shift away from heavy commercial electric vehicles.
The fourth and fifth largest markets are the UK and France. Europe as a whole represented 48% of global electrified transport investment in 2020, followed by China at 33%. The US represented just under 13% of total investment in 2020.
BloombergNEF sees 4.4 million passenger EV sales worldwide this year with Europe likely taking the lead again.
BloombergNEF points out that while emissions targets in the EU are staying the same in 2021, automakers are no longer able to exempt their worst 5% of vehicles from the calculations and have used up some of their banked credits.
EVs should be around 14-18% of light-duty vehicle sales on the continent in 2021, and come in around 1.9 million, according to BloombergNEF.
Chinese passenger EV sales are expected to rise to 1.7m, but North American registrations BloombergNEF expects to come in a little over 500,000:
This is far behind Europe and China, but 2021 marks a dramatic change on the policy front in the US.
The incoming Biden administration’s appointments and statements so far show strong ambitions on EVs and charging infrastructure.